Pham and Lodolo strong rebounds not enough to stop Reds 7th straight loss

Pham and Lodolo strong rebounds not enough to stop Reds 7th straight loss

The Reds got their first lead of the week in the first inning when Tommy Pham finally got his first extra-base hit as a Red. The Friars faithful for some reason decided to boo the .039 hitter, and Pham returned the favor with a 424 foot blast into the left field seats.

Unfortunately for the Reds, who have had little go right through the first few games of the season, that lead only lasted a couple minutes. The second batter of the game for the Padres, Manny Machado hit a two run home run off Nick Lodolo to quickly put the Reds behind 2-1.

Lodolo settled down and pitched five strong innings overall – a very strong rebound from his disastrous first start at Great American Ballpark. The Reds offense had plenty of good chances early in the game, but could not find a way to get any more runners across the plate off Padres starting pitcher, Sean Manaea. The Reds lost their 7th straight game to fall to 2-9 overall.

Reds worst starts through 11 games since 1955 (how bad it got before win #3 of the season):

2022: 2-9
2018: 2-9 (2-13)
1993: 2-9 (2-9)
1955: 2-9 (2-11)

Biggest Play of the Game


Source: FanGraphs

According to Fangraphs WPA statistic (winning percentage added), the biggest play of the game was Nick Lodolo allowing a 2-run home run to Manny Machado with 0 out in the 1st inning, giving the Padres a 2-1 lead. That play decreased the Reds probability of winning by 18.2% (from 52.8% to 34.6%).

Positives

Tommy Pham made his return to Petco Park a triumphant one, and it was much needed for Reds fans. Pham entered the night hitting .038/.194/.038 with zero extra base hits. He finished the night a triple shy of the cycle.

Nick Lodolo got off to a rough start, but settled down to give the Reds a really quality second big league start. His final line was certainly not spectacular (5.0 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 8 K), but he got a lot of bad swings and weak contact after the first inning. Lodolo only allowed 2 hard hit balls according to Statcast, and finished with a .243 xBA against.

Alejo Lopez got a hit in his first start of 2021. He also hit a rocket later in the game for a tough out.

Negatives

Joey Votto is really struggling. He is now 1 for 28 with 14 strikeouts in his last 8 games. The Reds will be facing their first RHP since Friday tomorrow, so I doubt that he gets a day off then, but if he doesn’t get things going tomorrow, you have to wonder if he would get Wednesday off vs a LHP with an off -day on Thursday for a nice two day breather.

Brandon Drury‘s hot start was cooled tonight. He went 0 for 4 with 2 strikeouts – batting second for the Cincinnati Reds.

Not so random thoughts……….

It’s not a lot of fun right now, but it’s going to get better for the Reds. Maybe folks like me who thought this team could perform close to their pre-season near .500 PECOTA projection were off – time will tell on that. The Reds aren’t this bad. Until this team finally does get going, we will just have to enjoy starts like Nick Lodolo’s tonight. Brighter days will come.

Up Next:

Reds at Padres
Tuesday, 9:40 PM
TV: Bally Sports Ohio
Reiver Sanmartin vs. Joe Musgrove

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